Early Adopter Access — $79/month (first 10–15 users grandfathered forever)

One regime.
One risk band.
One clean API.

Forward-looking regime detection and volatility forecasting — one clear signal per ticker, before the open. No dashboards, no noise.

No credit card required  ·  Full signal access  ·  Cancels automatically

GET /signal?ticker=SPY
example output
{
  "ticker":              "SPY",
  "date":                "2026-04-15",  // example output
  "forecast_vol_21d":    20.76,
  "current_regime":      "elevated_risk",
  "risk_band":           "Elevated",
  "confidence":          0.711,
  "recommended_action":  "reduce_risk",
  "horizon":             "next_5_trading_days",
  "days_in_regime":      2,
  "regime_context":      "day 2 of median 7 · ~9d expected · 89% continues · early"
  // days_in_regime + regime_context: new in v2026.04
}

01How it works

Three steps. One clear answer.

Step 01

Call the API

One HTTP request with your ticker and API key. Core instruments have been validated. 60+ additional tickers are supported.

Step 02

Get the signal

Receive a regime label, risk band, 21-day volatility estimate, and a direct recommended action — all in one clean JSON response.

Step 03

Act with confidence

Hold, reduce risk, or rotate positions based on a signal calibrated to market stress — not lagging indicators or reactive VIX thresholds.

Core instruments validated  ·  60+ additional tickers supported
SPY QQQ IWM GLD TLT TIP XLF XLK HYG SLV PDBC WEAT SOYB EFA EEM + 45 more

02Why RegimeEdge

Built for clarity, not complexity. No dashboards. No noise. Just the signal you need.

Forward-looking, not reactive

The signal doesn't wait for a crash to tell you risk is elevated. It detects stress building — before the move, not after.

One answer, zero noise

No 20-indicator dashboards. One regime label, one risk band, one recommended action. Simple enough to act on before the open.

Validated risk detection

When the signal says reduce risk, realised forward volatility is measurably higher than on hold days — consistently, across every core instrument. See the full validation in the section below.

Strict zero-collection

No IPs, no tickers, no request history stored on disk. Everything runs in memory and clears on restart. We don't know what you trade.

Built to stay live

Three levels of data resilience so your signals keep flowing — even when one upstream source goes down.

Clean, documented API

Interactive docs at /docs. Integrates in minutes with any language or workflow.

New: Every response now includes days_in_regime and regime_context — how long the current regime has been active, expected remaining duration, and continuation probability.

03Why RegimeEdge looks simple — and why that matters

We deliberately stripped away the noise so serious traders can make decisions in seconds.

The surface

At first glance it feels almost too basic — one daily regime signal, one set of suggested exposure percentages, one calm color. That's intentional.

What powers it

A sophisticated, non-AI regime detection engine developed by a dedicated R&D team. Validated over 16 years and 4,073 trading days, it reads the actual market regime — the underlying conditions that drive risk and volatility — and delivers a clear signal before the open.

The difference

Most indicators tell you what already happened. RegimeEdge tells you the current risk environment and suggested exposure — before the move fully unfolds.

The offer

Prime regime data — clear, actionable intelligence that used to be available only to institutions — now packaged for traders who value clarity over complexity. No hype. No black boxes.

16 yrs
of battle-tested history
4,073
trading days validated
60–90%
higher vol on reduce-risk days
9/10
validation checks passed
Crisis audit — signal lead time before major drawdowns
COVID crash 2020 −33.7% flagged 16 days early
2022 bear market −24.5% flagged 213 days early
2018 Q4 selloff −19.4% flagged 45 days early
2011 debt ceiling −18.4% flagged 39 days early
2015 flash crash −11.9% missed — single-day event, signal moved after

We're transparent about the limits too. Fast flash-crash events (like 2015) can still surprise any daily regime system — and we publish those misses. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

04How it performs — the honest picture

RegimeEdge is a risk management signal, not an alpha generator. Here's what the data actually shows.

flip rate
4–6%
regime flips — regimes last 2–5 weeks on average

SPY held a single neutral regime for 259 consecutive days. No whipsaw — it commits to a view and holds it.

Standout result
max drawdown
−18.3%
QQQ max drawdown (vs −35.1% passive)

Nearly half the drawdown of buy-and-hold. On QQQ, the signal-filtered approach also beats passive on risk-adjusted terms — Calmar 0.61 vs 0.54.

max drawdown
−27.0%
SPY max drawdown (vs −33.7% passive)

Consistent drawdown reduction across every core ticker. Smaller holes mean less recovery time and more stable compounding.

sharpe ratio
3.20
Sharpe — GLD reduce_exposure (Sortino 5.55)

Triggered just 119 days out of 4,073. Rare and selective — but when it fires, the results have been institutional grade.

Results based on a simple signal-aware strategy: full allocation in calm regimes, 50% in reduce_risk, fully defensive in reduce_exposure. 16 years · 4,073 trading days per ticker · Last validated April 2026.
The honest trade-off

Raw returns are typically lower than buy-and-hold. That is intentional.

We accept some missed upside in strong bull markets in exchange for lower drawdowns and a more stable ride. That is exactly what a serious regime signal should deliver.

See the full crisis-by-crisis breakdown →

05Early Adopter Pricing

Try it free for 7 days. No credit card required.

Start here
7-Day Free Trial
Free
No credit card · full access

  • Full daily signal + digest email
  • Regime duration context
  • Cross-asset confirmation
  • Same signal as paid users
Monthly
$79/mo
Cancel anytime · grandfathered forever

  • Full daily signal + digest email
  • API access (5 core instruments)
  • Regime duration context
  • Cross-asset confirmation
Subscribe — $79/mo
Heads up: Once we reach 10–15 early users, the price moves to $199/month for new signups. Early adopters keep their rate forever.

06Privacy

This is one of our strongest commitments.

API: zero-collection policy

Signal requests are processed in memory only — no IP addresses, no ticker logs, no request history written to disk. All computation clears on restart. Nginx access logs are disabled. We don't know what you trade or how you use the signal.

Email digest: minimal and necessary only

Digest subscribers share their email address and optional name — nothing else. We don't sell data, run ad tracking, or share with third parties beyond Resend.com (our email delivery provider). You can update or delete your data any time. Full details in our Privacy Policy.

One signal.
Before the open. Every day.

Start with a free 7-day trial — no credit card required. Early adopter spots are limited at $79/month, grandfathered forever.